Last minor swing high

What's the significance of 89p?

Cheers
Woody

RSI usually leads a breakout, but if you are right, this would be the second time that SP has lead and RSI failed. Unusual. I also use the sma's, which as you say are proving stern resistance.

SP has nowhere to go but up or down as falling wedge is now broken. A close above 89 would signal continuation for the bulls and a close below 80 will give the bears the upper hand.

The share lacks any firm direction over the past 2 weeks and this may continue with a downside bias IMO.

F4T

This has had a good rise and looks to have broken a short term trendline, normally quite bullish, however the RSI, is again at resistance, and those moving averages, seem to acting like the great wall of China
Seems like a bull trap IMHO.

This is coming straight back down IMHO, but would be happy to be wrong and see it continue upwards.

This is the link.

uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...WWPEK4=&symbol=L^GKP

Regards,
Trendfriend.

uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...QaVg5dPMuuZcnfMrw%3D

RSI resistance held the other day. Now in a very tight corner!

Can someone please help and overlay the GKP sp chart for the same period (01/07/12 to current ) on the chart below. I haven't a clue how to do it but I figured we have some experts on board here that might.Thanks in anticipation.

www.efinancialnews.com/get-data-explorer...om/DxlApi/Chart.aspx

Hi Trendfriend,

my post was to highlight the potential trendline break and RSI being at resistance, which are key in determining the short term direction of the SP. As I noted, IF both these fall then it IS a bullish combination and I would then expect the sma 20 & 50 to also fall. The positive divergences are bullish already as is the bullish harami on the weekly. A falling wedge is also more bullish than bearish. But of course nothing is conclusive. This has been in a downtrend since 450 and anything can happen. A trend is always more likely to continue than change, but trends do change.

I just quote the indicators and remain flexible and not rigid in my outlook or interpretations.

This week will indeed be interesting and I am monitoring all the above, but particularly the RSI.

Regards
F4T

---

I have a potential/imminent breakout on the daily. SP is leading RSI, so will watch the RSI next week for confirmation. Nice positive divergence on MACD.
If it follows through it should also conquer the 50sma. 109 would be the next target followed by the gap at 140/143.

Support at 80 (trendline) and horizontal at 72 and 64.

uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...7w%3D&symbol=L%5EGKP

Trendline resistance already broken on weekly, which trumps the daily.

Monday should be interesting.

F4T

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/Gulf...20Ltd%20%281H%29.png
Whilst this is attempting to dig itself from the trough of 72, the current formation could well be a flat until recent highs at 87 > 89 are broken on close. If the current formation carries on to close between 100 > 127.20% then we have a bullish scenario.

One indication worthy of note was the very bullish divergence of the RSI on the daily chart during the drop from 103 > 72.

As Remo keeps saying, patience is the requisite with this share.

Theres no bullishness in gkp until it clears 110.
This is going sideways currently so that trend line break is not really valid. If it was the real deal it would have exploded out . You have to be careful with this share.
Best to wait for a clear defined 123 low or atleast clear 110 before considering jumping on board the gkp train.


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/gkp23rdjune2014.png

Quite right Remo, but when you get a bullish run of candlesticks and a shooting star like candlestick at the top of that run it represents the same trading activity as if it were at a top.

Interesting take Food4thought.

I'm not as quite bullish as you are on this. Although i hope your right, indeed you may well be!
The trendline break, and the break of 85p as well as the bullish divergence on the RSI, look very positive.
However i think this could quite possibly come back to the descending trendline, as the negatives outweigh the positives on this IMHO.

This has been below the 20 and 50 day ave's for some time, and failed on Friday (again) at the 20 day. The RSI is also at resistance, and lets rememeber the mid/long term set up is Bearish.
The recent move up, altough positive, doesn't seem to have strong Momentum behind it IMHO. As the break above 85p failed to produce a big move up.

i don't have a postion here at the moment, i intend to enter above the 50 day average at 92p, or at the descending trendline currently around 70p.

Lets see how she goes during this week.
This is the link.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...KU%3D&symbol=L%5EGKP

Regards,
Trendfriend.

Shooting stars come at the top of a trend and not at the bottomxWoody wrote:

I have a potential/imminent breakout on the daily. SP is leading RSI, so will watch the RSI next week for confirmation. Nice positive divergence on MACD.
If it follows through it should also conquer the 50sma. 109 would be the next target followed by the gap at 140/143.

Support at 80 (trendline) and horizontal at 72 and 64.

uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...7w%3D&symbol=L%5EGKP

Trendline resistance already broken on weekly, which trumps the daily.

Monday should be interesting.

F4T

SRB,

As far as notation is concerned it could be the very start of either wave C or wave 3, but really only time will tell.

Hey F4T,

Doesn't a Shooting Star require a dark body?

Cheers
Woody


No, the colour is not important.

Diver where are we now please with regard to EWT Waves in your opinion.

Tight Lines

Hey F4T,

Doesn't a Shooting Star require a dark body?

Cheers
Woody

Daily chart.....

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/Gulf...%2819june2014%29.png

.....I still find it amazing to note how well the Fibonacci levels coincide with the supports/resistances, and how well they predict future levels at either the 61.80, 100.00, or 123.60% levels.

Here's the hourly for a look closer in.....

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/Gulf...20Ltd%20%281H%29.png

....see how the bottom at 72.25 was so accurately predicted in both time frames.
I have no idea if yesterday's price of 82.50 was the bottom in the current retrace. Frankly I doubt it, as I think it may well go to 38.20% and, more likely 50.00% before resuming the climb from obscurity

Weekly chart

uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...AlU7wWNR44ON9aXfRzk=

shooting start then dark cloud cover on daily.

I have moved my stop up to 83.50p, below today low.

This has failed to continue momentum, and looks like its breaking below and failing to hold the breakout point at 85p.

It could still bounce from here, but i must trade what i see, and not what i hope.
Some of my other holdings have done well today, so don't mind taking a small hit on this.
Regards,
Trendfriend.

Hi guys and girls
Ideally this has to break above the short term trend line for bulls to be in charge


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/gkp8thjune2014.png

Support....72.5,,64
resistance....90(trendline),,,,99,,,107,,,110...

110 is the level gkp has to clear before the bulls can take control...Until that happens just be careful

Went long with a tranche at 86.5 myself. But not greatly encouraged at the moment! But then again patience was never one of my strengths

Weird action on L2 at the moment - loads of small orders on the bid; been like it all week.

Good luck all,

EGH

Would agree Sir Richard, be flexible around 90p area.

This is the first time this has had any kind of real breakout in a long time.
I'am not fully convinced here, despite the breakout.
This will be very news driven, which we have to keep in mind.
This is still in bear mode, although the breakout could mean the lows have been seen for now at least.
Do not fall in love the upside here, take profits,and preserve capital, by moving stops to profit if it hits the 89/90p area, we can always come back again for another day IMHO.

Sorry to chip in but here's mine

Hopefully if the long term T Line is breached then I have initially 92.50 as the target but lets see.

www.screencast.com/t/9wvl5egG


Tight Lines

Many thanks TF.

What's your target price and what are your stops if you don't mind me asking?

Many thanks,

EGH

Ive gone long at 85.50/86p.

123 Low formations are good to golong intraday when broken above, no need to wait for end of day close IMHO.

Best Regards,
Trendfriend.

Trend,

When you say you're going long at 86, are you talking intraday or only upon close at 86?

TIA

Regards (and thanks to you, F4T and all the other guys and gals here),

EGH

Hi Trendfriend,

yes, a breakout from the minor swing high of 85 would be positive, but the 90 area provides a far sterner test of trendline resistance on the daily (see chart). More long term resistance from 450 lies in the gap area of 140.

The chart shows the falling wedge from 6/2012 (more bullish than bearish) and how key the 80/82 area is. Indecision reigns (hence the doji's) due to trendline support and horizontal support at 82.

uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...47wnMSvuLIeBWyUbo%3D

Horizontal support below is at 64p, but IMO this needs to happen in the next 2 weeks.

On the bullish side, there is potential for a strong move if the wedge breaks upwards.

F4T

this looks quite interesting today.

Not going against anything Food 4 thought is saying below.

However, we will get what looks like 123 formation on the break 85p.
Don't try to jump the gun here, this is still in Bear mode.

I will go long at 86p (to be safe), if we see this level. stops below the two.
This has potentially loads of upside, so not one to rush into.

uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...qHcw%3D&symbol=L^GKP

that's the link, break of 85p the level to watch IMHO.

Regards,
trendfriend.

Hi Skipper.

I will give some commentary here since I am following this retrace and no others have.

See hourly chart:

uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...PsJ0z+OJD1xRxndFw08=

This demonstrates the stall at 85. RSI resistance and trendline resistance. We are also in the 61.8% fib area.This is a good sell point IMO.

A good attempt to garner interest with the RNS and it has brought a break of the important 82 level, but given all the above I will expect a retrace to at least 72.25 over the next week. My bet is still a retrace to 64 at minimum. I will test the water there.

Do remember that anything can happen.

Cheers
F4T

Hello stranger

I think it is GKP time again soon. It has been a while. Beautiful trendline / triangle break here, forewarned two days ago when RSI support did the same.

Not a time to go long though, not that I am supporting Bobbono's remarks, which should be ignored as usual.

Anyway, I am looking to the support in the 64p area which is close enough to the asset value in the CPR to give confidence.

A quick chart to illustrate:

uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...eQ8+B7xY/WgBWw3faxY=

GL
F$T

Hi Bonobo,what exactly does that statement have to do with charting?
It seems much more like an unsupported and subjective opinion to my eye.
Somehow i managed to thankyou but that was not my intention

I think that anyone putting their money into GKP or GENEL for a quick 10% is very brave given the capitulation that could rapidly unfold if the crisis on the ground isn't quickly neutered.

I've gone long here.

Lets see if the trendline holds

This could hit the bottom of the descending channel, around 78p falling daily.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...GA%3D&symbol=L%5EGKP

i will go long at the falling trendline(78p level today) for short term trade only. As other indicators look bearish or mixed here.
This could jump 10-15% of the trendline for a quick trade, with tight stops below.

This is a close up chart.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...FI%3D&symbol=L%5EGKP

Regards,
Trendfriend.

RSI has broken... symmetrical triangle has to break out within the next few sessions too. However there does appear to be a lot of support in the high 80's for this...

Given that the main trendline and support are around 82p, would people wait for these to be broken before shorting, or open a short on the symmetrical triangle break (if it does indeed breakout downwards!)?

Cheers
Woody


https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/102203695/Screenshots/GKP-10-06-14.jpg

Hi Woody, technically, it can't be a hammer as that pattern happens at the end of a down trend. This seems to be a clear sideways move, so no hammer.

Yep, me again! So, by my novice eye, we appear to have a symmetrical triangle, a hammer and a potential 123 low...

I'm still out of this, expecting/looking for further lows, but I'd say a stop buy at 100p might be a good idea, as if it gets there it should have some legs, maybe even challenge 110p... any thoughts from anyone?



https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/102203695/Screenshots/Screenshot%202014-06-02%2017.23.35.png

Also, given the time frame, would this be considered a Symmetrical Triangle?



https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/102203695/Screenshots/GKP%2029-05-14%20%282%29.jpg

Thought I'd best post something here, as it's been nearly a week since anyone's talked about GKP.

Does the size of a hammer's body and/or wick have any bearing on it's strength as an indicator?



https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/102203695/Screenshots/GKP%20-%2029-05-14.jpg

Thanks for your helpful advice TF.
I am already learning a lot from the good folk here on this site, so glad I found my way here (thanks to Steve Jackozy for recommending this site to me). I really appreciate the unselfish way the more knowledgeable and experienced chartists/TA guru's here help those with a desire to learn how to trade better. This really is a nice place to be, a breath of fresh air.

ATB to you ')

Count, i have been watching this carefully for a while for a early entry.
I like to be a bit more aggresive, and try get in early, i can't help not doing it lol.

The higher low, hammer and trendline break, got me tempted this morning.

Worked out well in the end.
As Remo says this is still range bound untill 110p is beaten.
This could go on now to posibly test those levels.

For your losses, it's happened to so many here.
Jackozy always says, one must learn from mistakes, and not repeat them.

Keep following Chartsview, because this is great creation of Remo, with a lot of good folks onboard.
If you follow the tips here, and be disciplined with your trades, you will cover your losses in due course.
I have learnt a lot from everyone here, including Tradesmarter, who i havent seen around for while now,i hope he is well.

ATB,
Regs,
Trendfriend.

Actually ticking up a quite a bit now TF, not looking as grim as it was before 2.30pm when it was around 88.5P. Those yanks must be buying Good luck

PS GKP claimed my sanity (and my cash) a while back so I'm scared to get back in atm, so overly cautious.

pps just found out that the sudden rise at 2.30pm was due to a Reuters announcement
''Kurds Begin Piped Exports-Reuters''

This has come back down, so you quite right Count. Ouch!

With a higher low, hammer and a trendline break, i thought this was good.

No wonder this has claimed the sanity of so many, lol

Gkp is going sideways currently. so nothing special.
This now gives you clear areas to trade from.
Long above 110
short below 80

thats a trading range.
Sideways markets are the worst to trade in so bear that in mind.


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/gkp22ndmay2014.png

you can see how gkp has been doing looking at this chart.
sideways then down ,sideways then down.
So you have to break this sequence so look for a 123 low to form to show a change ,otherwise just stay out of this share for the time being based on technicals.

That was bold entry TF, but wouldn't a close above 92p be a wiser entry? I thought we were drifting between 92 and 86 in no mans land atm. The update presentation released yesterday was nice though. Are you expecting a late rise?
RSI plodding along (perhaps just beginning to be squeezed a bit) and volumes still low, not indicating too much atm.
Good luck though ')

i went long on the trendline break.

High risk, bit with a hammer below got tempted here.
Stop at 79p.

uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...04hA%3D&symbol=L^GKP

Hi richard
109.572 is the main level to watch as thats where the 123 low breakout point is.
Its still the important level to watch. The green light for GKP will only come once that level is cleared. Even then you still would be cautious so would have to use stops. The normal place to put stops would be below the 2 point but in gkp case its too far away so i would place it below 100 so maybe 97 as there is some support there.
There is no need to rush in to trading this share until some green shoots pop up.


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/gkp2ndapril2014.png

psyurmh wrote:

Hi guys,

First post for me. I am also someone who has moved across from Jacko's site.

Are people still waiting for a break of 109p to go long or now that we have had a low lower than 96p is the 109p irrelevant?

Thanks

Richard