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10 years 2 months ago #13493
by Trendfriend
Replied by Trendfriend on topic DOW
This is still in this channel....until it can can break above its going to keep going down imho... 
16280 top of trendline hit yesterday and 15640 down trendline today. so bounce now possible...best case for bounce 15900/15950 area.(falling every 60 mins)
scalp longs ok, but could be small bounces, off the down trendline.
Best place to trade imho is short from the top of the trendline imho..
Regards,
Trendfriend.
16280 top of trendline hit yesterday and 15640 down trendline today. so bounce now possible...best case for bounce 15900/15950 area.(falling every 60 mins)
scalp longs ok, but could be small bounces, off the down trendline.
Best place to trade imho is short from the top of the trendline imho..
Regards,
Trendfriend.
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10 years 2 months ago #13499
by Ronmould
Hey TF - was only small long at 15654, stop already moved up so no worries now.
Will continue to move stop up but I fancy the chance of a break out of the channel now. worst come to worst it's paid for a pub lunch tomorrow anyway
Will continue to move stop up but I fancy the chance of a break out of the channel now. worst come to worst it's paid for a pub lunch tomorrow anyway
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10 years 2 months ago #13502
by Trendfriend
Replied by Trendfriend on topic DOW
Hi Ron, hope your well.
Well this really is a nasty day.....you did well to catch winning long trade!!
Any predictions where the final low will be on the dow folks??
I think eventually a move down to 10500 area is possible imho.... possibly 12000 area ....maybe soemwhere between the two numbers??
Some way to go for this down move that's for sure
Lets see,
Trendfriend.
Well this really is a nasty day.....you did well to catch winning long trade!!
Any predictions where the final low will be on the dow folks??
I think eventually a move down to 10500 area is possible imho.... possibly 12000 area ....maybe soemwhere between the two numbers??
Some way to go for this down move that's for sure
Lets see,
Trendfriend.
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10 years 2 months ago #13504
by Ronmould
Hey - got closed out for my pub lunch but went back in when went back over 16650 so got myself another one for Friday at least 
I was looking at 14000 area as a possible bottom if it kept going (not today, long term obviously)...i still fancy today as a turning point though!
I was looking at 14000 area as a possible bottom if it kept going (not today, long term obviously)...i still fancy today as a turning point though!
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10 years 2 months ago #13506
by Trendfriend
Replied by Trendfriend on topic DOW
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10 years 2 months ago #13512
by Trendfriend
Replied by Trendfriend on topic DOW
Just a quick look here.
This did finally break out of the the bearish channel, expected a substantial bear market rally, but it did not happen so far anyway.
Which leaves me thinking we have a bear flag developing on the hourly.
This looks worth a trade to me, if the flag breaks down, @ 15750...
(rising hourly)
This level could well hold, maybe just a pullback to retest the channel.
Failure to hold could well be the start of the next leg down, and would be the signal to short imho...
Wait for flag to breakdown @15750(rising hourly), and then short with tight stops above the flag trendline.
Lets see it plays out today....
Regards,
Trendfriend.
This did finally break out of the the bearish channel, expected a substantial bear market rally, but it did not happen so far anyway.
Which leaves me thinking we have a bear flag developing on the hourly.
This looks worth a trade to me, if the flag breaks down, @ 15750...
This level could well hold, maybe just a pullback to retest the channel.
Failure to hold could well be the start of the next leg down, and would be the signal to short imho...
Wait for flag to breakdown @15750(rising hourly), and then short with tight stops above the flag trendline.
Lets see it plays out today....
Regards,
Trendfriend.
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